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Markets/Politics/GPT-6 released by…?
GPT-6 released by…?
PoliticsACTIVE

GPT-6 released by…?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History

Outcomes (5 markets)

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Yes2.3%
No97.7%
$838 24h

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes21.0%
No79.0%
$306 24h

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes80.0%
No20.0%
$107 24h

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes65.5%
No34.5%
$15 24h

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$328.1K
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$32.6K
End Date
12/31/2025
Comments
39

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Tags

OpenAIGPT-5Big TechAITechsam altman