Politics Predictions
Political prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of thousands of traders to forecast election outcomes, policy decisions, and geopolitical events. Markets have consistently outperformed polls in accuracy.
60 active markets
Politics
Netanyahu out by...?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$28.2M vol$12.4M 24h
Politics
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$316.1M vol$11.3M 24h
Politics
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$838.5M vol$8.2M 24h
Politics
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$423.8M vol$6.3M 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$38.9M vol$5.2M 24h
Politics
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$414.3M vol$4.4M 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$13.3M vol$4.2M 24h
Politics
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$15.2M vol$3.6M 24h
Politics
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$4.1M vol$1.9M 24h
Politics
The Masters - Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$45.8M vol$1.8M 24h
Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$35.6M vol$1.8M 24h
Politics
F1 Drivers' Champion
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$30.5M vol$1.4M 24h
Politics
Eurovision Winner 2026
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$19.7M vol$895.5K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Actress Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$3.0M vol$867.9K 24h
Politics
Paris Mayoral Election
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$6.6M vol$831.2K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$3.1M vol$774.1K 24h
Politics
Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$11.0M vol$765.2K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$6.0M vol$740.0K 24h
Politics
Will Trump visit China by...?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$3.6M vol$684.4K 24h
Politics
Next French Presidential Election
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$14.2M vol$662.4K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$5.7M vol$598.1K 24h
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$25.9M vol$471.4K 24h
Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$10.4M vol$469.4K 24h
Politics
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$17.7M vol$379.3K 24h
Politics
Trump out as President by March 31?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$7.6M vol$378.1K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Cinematography Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$2.4M vol$343.9K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$909.1K vol$332.5K 24h
Politics
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$5.0M vol$329.2K 24h
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$31.8M vol$314.4K 24h
Politics
Colombia Chamber of Representatives Election Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$4.5M vol$298.3K 24h
Politics
Colombia Presidential Election
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$9.8M vol$293.2K 24h
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$26.5M vol$289.1K 24h
Politics
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$9.2M vol$244.9K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Production Design Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$579.2K vol$225.5K 24h
Politics
Who will win the Lyon mayoral election?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$522.6K vol$209.6K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$887.3K vol$176.3K 24h
Politics
Where will Trump and Putin meet next?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$2.4M vol$172.6K 24h
Politics
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$30.4M vol$150.4K 24h
Politics
EPL – Which Clubs Get Relegated?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.2M vol$141.2K 24h
Politics
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.9M vol$136.1K 24h
Politics
2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$964.6K vol$127.4K 24h
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$11.8M vol$107.0K 24h
Politics
2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$867.7K vol$102.4K 24h
Politics
Claude 5 released by…?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$3.0M vol$96.1K 24h
Politics
Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$8.0M vol$95.9K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Film Editing Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.4M vol$88.9K 24h
Politics
Which companies will be acquired before 2027?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$16.8M vol$78.0K 24h
Politics
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.9M vol$74.7K 24h
Politics
California Governor Election Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.9M vol$67.1K 24h
Politics
Oscars 2026: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$486.3K vol$66.3K 24h
Politics
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$17.2M vol$65.4K 24h
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$847.1K vol$60.3K 24h
Politics
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$2.6M vol$60.2K 24h
Politics
NBA Rookie of the Year
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.7M vol$59.8K 24h
Politics
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$2.8M vol$53.7K 24h
Politics
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$21.3M vol$52.1K 24h
Politics
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$7.3M vol$47.9K 24h
Politics
Bank of England Decision in March?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$505.1K vol$47.1K 24h
Politics
Who will win the Nice mayoral election?
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$286.6K vol$45.6K 24h
Politics
Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner
Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$170.7K vol$43.8K 24h