Markets/Politics/How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
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How many people will Trump deport in 2026?

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.

Price History

Outcomes (10 markets)

Will Trump deport 800-900k people?

Yes1.6%
No98.5%
$3.7K 24h

Will Trump deport 500-600k people?

Yes12.5%
No87.5%
$54 24h

Will Trump deport 700-800k people?

Yes1.6%
No98.4%
$9 24h

Will Trump deport 300-400k people?

Yes31.0%
No69.0%
$0 24h

Will Trump deport less than 200k people?

Yes6.7%
No93.3%
$0 24h

Will Trump deport more than 1m people?

Yes3.3%
No96.7%
$0 24h

Will Trump deport 200-300k people?

Yes20.5%
No79.5%
$0 24h

Will Trump deport 400-500k people?

Yes24.5%
No75.5%
$0 24h

Will Trump deport 600-700k people?

Yes4.3%
No95.7%
$0 24h

Will Trump deport 900k-1m people?

Yes1.9%
No98.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$8.9K
24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$74.5K
End Date
12/31/2026
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GeopoliticsPoliticsImmigrationTrump