Markets/Politics/Israel strike on Damascus by...?
Israel strike on Damascus by...?
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Israel strike on Damascus by...?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Damascus Governorate, or any target within it, between September 1, 7:20 PM ET, and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact within Damascus Governorate. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land in Damascus Governorate, or cause damage. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence. If there is ambiguity over whether a strike occurred, or whether the drone/missile was intercepted, this market will resolve based on whatever is most likely according to a consensus of credible reporting and video evidence.

Price History

Outcomes (4 markets)

Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?

Yes10.8%
No89.1%
$541 24h

Israel strike on Damascus by September 30?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Israel strike on Damascus by December 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Israel strike on Damascus by October 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$150.5K
24h Volume
$541
Liquidity
$12.2K
Open Interest
$10.1K
End Date
3/31/2026
Comments
32

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Tags

GeopoliticsMiddle EastWorldPoliticsIsrael