Markets/Politics/Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner
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Lebanon Parliamentary Election Winner

Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Lebanon in May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Lebanese Parliament. If the results are not known definitively by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Lebanese Parliament.. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Lebanese Ministry of Interior and Municipalities (interior.gov.lb). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.

Price History

Outcomes (44 markets)

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes5.5%
No94.5%
$878 24h

Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes5.0%
No95.0%
$466 24h

Will Hezbollah win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes1.3%
No98.7%
$311 24h

Will Dignity Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes2.5%
No97.5%
$246 24h

Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes6.0%
No94.0%
$80 24h

Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes3.1%
No96.9%
$29 24h

Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes0.3%
No99.8%
$10 24h

Will Lana – Social Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes0.7%
No99.3%
$5 24h

Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Mada Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes5.2%
No94.8%
$0 24h

Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes1.5%
No98.6%
$0 24h

Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes2.9%
No97.0%
$0 24h

Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes1.4%
No98.6%
$0 24h

Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes3.0%
No97.0%
$0 24h

Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes2.4%
No97.6%
$0 24h

Will Independence Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes0.4%
No99.7%
$0 24h

Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes1.8%
No98.3%
$0 24h

Will Islamic Group win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes3.3%
No96.8%
$0 24h

Will Khatt Ahmar win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes0.3%
No99.8%
$0 24h

Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes2.9%
No97.1%
$0 24h

Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Other win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes2.3%
No97.7%
$0 24h

Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes0.3%
No99.7%
$0 24h

Will Popular Nasserist Organization win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes1.4%
No98.7%
$0 24h

Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes2.2%
No97.8%
$0 24h

Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$505.0K
24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$200.0K
Open Interest
$12.6K
End Date
5/31/2026
Comments
12

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Tags

Middle EastLebanonGlobal ElectionsWorld ElectionsElectionsPoliticsMain Election