Markets/Science & Tech/Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

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Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?
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Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

This market will resolve according to the 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait that IMF Portwatch reports for September 30, 2026. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been published. If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Bab El-Mandeb Strait at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c, both in the chart and through downloadable files. Where an unrounded and rounded value provided by the resolution source differ with respect to the resolution of this market, the unrounded value will be used.

Price History

Outcomes (5 markets)

Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

Yes57.0%
No43.0%
$2.3K 24h

Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

Yes37.5%
No62.5%
$787 24h

Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

Yes2.9%
No97.0%
$110 24h

Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

Yes1.3%
No98.8%
$82 24h

Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?

Yes2.0%
No98.0%
$82 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$34.2K
24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$56.9K
Open Interest
$7.1K
End Date
9/30/2026
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OilIranHormuzHouthisGeopoliticsBab el-MandebStrait of Hormuz