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Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Price History
Outcomes (9 markets)
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1540 by December 31?
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1530 by December 31?
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1510 by December 31?
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1700 by December 31?
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?
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