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Closest Governor's Race?
PoliticsACTIVE

Closest Governor's Race?

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US State gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider all regular and special gubernatorial elections that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. For the purposes of this market, US State is defined to exclude territories, the District of Columbia, and any other subdivision that is not a state. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History

Outcomes (41 markets)

Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes87.5%
No12.4%
$1.6K 24h

Will New Hampshire be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.5%
No99.5%
$599 24h

Will Florida be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.5%
No98.5%
$525 24h

Will Nebraska be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes12.8%
No87.2%
$168 24h

Will Tennessee be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes49.0%
No51.0%
$157 24h

Will Oregon be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No99.9%
$147 24h

Will Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.5%
No98.5%
$142 24h

Will Vermont be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.5%
No98.5%
$125 24h

Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.5%
No98.5%
$110 24h

Will Arkansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.5%
No98.5%
$84 24h

Will Alaska be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.5%
No98.5%
$80 24h

Will Alabama be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes7.5%
No92.5%
$77 24h

Will Wisconsin be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.5%
No98.5%
$32 24h

Will Michigan be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.5%
No98.5%
$31 24h

Will Illinois be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.5%
No99.5%
$8 24h

Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$2 24h

Will South Carolina be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.0%
No99.0%
$0 24h

Will Colorado be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will State B be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will State C be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will State D be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will State E be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Hawaii be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Connecticut be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will State A be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

Will Arizona be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Ohio be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.9%
No99.1%
$0 24h

Will Oklahoma be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.5%
No99.5%
$0 24h

Will Iowa be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.5%
No99.5%
$0 24h

Will New Mexico be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.4%
No99.6%
$0 24h

Will Rhode Island be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.9%
No99.1%
$0 24h

Will Pennsylvania be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes1.5%
No98.6%
$0 24h

Will California be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Massachusetts be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Wyoming be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Idaho be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will South Dakota be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Maine be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Minnesota be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Maryland be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will New York be the closest Governor's race in 2026?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$59.9K
24h Volume
$3.9K
Liquidity
$327.5K
Open Interest
$9.8K
End Date
11/4/2026
Comments
1

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Tags

SenateMidtermsPoliticsGovernor Elections