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First snow of the 2026 season
This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records any snowfall, including trace, between market creation and the listed deadline, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The observation day is each station's National Weather Service climate day (midnight to midnight local time). Each market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as a report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as a report has been published for every day of its window. Because the final climate report for a day is issued the following morning, each market carries a resolution date 3 days after its deadline as an outer limit for that publication lag, not a waiting period: October 31, 2026 (by November 3, 2026); November 15, 2026 (by November 18, 2026); November 30, 2026 (by December 3, 2026). Each market's resolution source is that city's NWS Daily Climate Report, linked in that market's details. Those pages show the latest report only; past daily reports for every city are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/.
Price History
Outcomes (31 markets)
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by October 31?
Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by October 31?
Will it snow in Denver, CO by October 31?
Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by October 31?
Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 15?
Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 15?
Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 15?
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 15?
Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 15?
Will it snow in Washington, DC by November 30?
Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 15?
Will it snow in Nashville, TN by November 30?
Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 15?
Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 30?
Will it snow in Buffalo, NY by November 15?
Will it snow in Philadelphia, PA by November 30?
Will it snow in Cincinnati, OH by November 30?
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 30?
Will it snow in Denver, CO by November 30?
Will it snow in Indianapolis, IN by November 30?
Will it snow in Kansas City, MO by November 30?
Will it snow in Salt Lake City, UT by November 15?
Will it snow in Boston, MA by November 30?
Will it snow in St. Louis, MO by November 30?
Will it snow in Pittsburgh, PA by November 30?
Will it snow in Dallas, TX by November 30?
Will it snow in Chicago, IL by November 30?
Will it snow in Minneapolis, MN by November 30?
Will it snow in New York City, NY by November 30?
Will it snow in Detroit, MI by November 30?
Will it snow in Denver, CO by November 15?
Market Stats
Top Holders
PRONo holder data yet