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Iran leader end of 2026?
This market will resolve to the individual who de facto holds and exercises the powers of the head of state of the Islamic Republic of Iran on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, “de facto holds” refers to the individual who exercises primary governing authority over the Iranian state at that time, including effective control over the armed forces, national institutions, and core executive decision-making, regardless of formal title, constitutional designation, or international recognition. Formal appointment, recognition by the United Nations, or recognition by foreign governments is not required. If more than one individual claims to be head of state, this market will resolve to the individual who demonstrably exercises primary governing control within Iran’s territory at the specified time. Indicators of de facto authority may include control over the armed forces and security services; control over executive ministries and state administrative institutions; enforcement of national laws; issuance of binding national directives; and effective control over the capital and core state infrastructure. Symbolic status, foreign recognition without domestic control, nomination without effective authority, or expired prior service will not qualify. If no individual exercises effective governing control at the specified time, this market will resolve to “No Head of State”. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting assessing who exercises effective governing authority at the specified time.
Price History
Outcomes (60 markets)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Massoud Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will ak be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will ai be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will ae be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will af be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will ah be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will aj be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will ag be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will z be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will y be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will ao be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will x be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will v be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will t be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will s be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will q be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will p be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Other be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Mohammad Pakpour be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will o be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will r be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will u be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will w be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will aa be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will ab be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will ac be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will ad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will an be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will al be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Will am be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
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