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Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?
PoliticsACTIVE

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released on...?

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model (5.6+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Opus" and be designated as version 5.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Opus 5 or Claude Opus 5.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Opus 6, while models whose name does not include "Opus" or which retain a version designation below 5.6, such as Claude Opus 5.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History

Outcomes (32 markets)

Will there be no next Claude Opus model (5.6+) release by November 30, 2026?

Yes33.0%
No67.0%
$1.5K 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 14, 2026?

Yes1.2%
No98.8%
$548 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 23, 2026?

Yes15.4%
No84.5%
$188 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 21, 2026?

Yes2.7%
No97.3%
$165 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 2, 2026?

Yes2.5%
No97.5%
$131 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 7, 2026?

Yes7.6%
No92.4%
$114 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 28, 2026?

Yes2.3%
No97.8%
$111 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 5, 2026?

Yes18.6%
No81.5%
$106 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 15, 2026?

Yes4.7%
No95.3%
$98 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 3, 2026?

Yes2.5%
No97.5%
$95 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 18, 2026?

Yes2.6%
No97.4%
$94 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 8, 2026?

Yes4.9%
No95.1%
$93 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 12, 2026?

Yes5.3%
No94.7%
$90 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 22, 2026?

Yes2.6%
No97.4%
$75 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 17, 2026?

Yes7.7%
No92.3%
$71 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 11, 2026?

Yes3.6%
No96.4%
$71 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 27, 2026?

Yes7.8%
No92.2%
$71 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 16, 2026?

Yes3.1%
No96.9%
$59 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 20, 2026?

Yes2.6%
No97.4%
$57 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 9, 2026?

Yes5.1%
No94.9%
$51 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 24, 2026?

Yes7.5%
No92.5%
$22 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 25, 2026?

Yes2.6%
No97.4%
$9 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 4, 2026?

Yes2.4%
No97.7%
$0 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 1, 2026?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 30, 2026?

Yes0.5%
No99.5%
$0 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 10, 2026?

Yes3.6%
No96.4%
$0 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 6, 2026?

Yes7.5%
No92.5%
$0 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 26, 2026?

Yes2.0%
No98.0%
$0 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 29, 2026?

Yes0.6%
No99.4%
$0 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 13, 2026?

Yes2.1%
No97.9%
$0 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on or prior to October 31, 2026?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) be released on November 19, 2026?

Yes0.6%
No99.4%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$16.7K
24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$22.8K
Open Interest
$2.6K
End Date
12/1/2026
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Tags

AITechClaudeAnthropicRecurringAI ReleasesClaude Opus