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Next Claude Opus released on...?
PoliticsACTIVE

Next Claude Opus released on...?

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public. Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants released after market creation. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic. Claude Opus 5, released on July 24, 2026, and any snapshot, rollout, or re-release of it will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History

Outcomes (16 markets)

Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?

Yes26.0%
No74.0%
$1.7K 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?

Yes31.9%
No68.0%
$1.2K 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 30, 2026?

Yes4.5%
No95.5%
$727 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 24, 2026?

Yes14.5%
No85.5%
$651 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 20, 2026?

Yes0.7%
No99.4%
$574 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 23, 2026?

Yes5.5%
No94.5%
$564 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?

Yes16.5%
No83.5%
$509 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 29, 2026?

Yes2.9%
No97.2%
$366 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 25, 2026?

Yes5.5%
No94.5%
$348 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 28, 2026?

Yes0.3%
No99.8%
$155 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 18, 2026?

Yes7.7%
No92.3%
$140 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 19, 2026?

Yes0.8%
No99.3%
$109 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 27, 2026?

Yes0.2%
No99.8%
$82 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 17, 2026?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$75 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 26, 2026?

Yes0.4%
No99.6%
$25 24h

Will the next Claude Opus model be released on or prior to September 16, 2026?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$12.9K
24h Volume
$7.2K
Liquidity
$21.1K
Open Interest
$7.5K
End Date
10/1/2026
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Tags

AITechClaudeAnthropicAI ReleasesClaude Opus