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Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Price History
Outcomes (30 markets)
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 9, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 10, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 12, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 30, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 30, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 15, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 2, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 18, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 27, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 28, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 26, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?
Market Stats
Top Holders
PRONo holder data yet