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Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Price History
Outcomes (37 markets)
Will François Hollande advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Raphaël Glucksmann advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Mathilde Panot advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Fabien Roussel advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will another person advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Dominique de Villepin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Élisabeth Borne advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Marine Tondelier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Valérie Pécresse advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Ségolène Royal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Carole Delga advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Juan Branco advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Clémence Guetté advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Gérald Darmanin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will François Asselineau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Michel Barnier advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Xavier Bertrand advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Sébastien Lecornu advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Jean Castex advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Olivier Faure advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Laurent Wauquiez advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Bruno Retailleau advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Éric Zemmour advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Manuel Bompard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
Will Bernard Cazeneuve advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
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