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Next Grok Model (4.8+) released on...?
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which SpaceXAI's next Grok model (4.8+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Grok" and be designated as version 4.8 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 4.8 or higher named in the same manner as Grok 4.5, Grok 4.6, or Grok 4.7 would qualify, including reasoning, Fast, Heavy, or similar variants carrying a 4.8 or higher designation and a new whole-number generation such as Grok 5, while models whose name does not include "Grok" or which retain a version designation below 4.8, such as Grok 4.7 (released September 21, 2026), including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify. Separately numbered product lines that do not carry the core Grok version designation, such as Grok Code Fast or Grok Imagine, will not qualify, and version numbers of the Grok app, website, or other products that do not correspond to a new underlying model will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by SpaceXAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceXAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Price History
Outcomes (32 markets)
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 20, 2026?
Will there be no next Grok model (4.8+) release by November 30, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 6, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 21, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 26, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 7, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 16, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 13, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 19, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 24, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 10, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 28, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 22, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on or prior to October 31, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 4, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 12, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 30, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 25, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 18, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 27, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 29, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 8, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 9, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 2, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 5, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 11, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 17, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 23, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 15, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 14, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 3, 2026?
Will the next Grok model (4.8+) be released on November 1, 2026?
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