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Next Israeli Minister of Defense?
This market will resolve to the individual who first assumes office as Israeli Minister of Defense in the first government formed following the 2026 Knesset elections. To count for resolution, the individual’s ministership must be approved by the Knesset in a vote of confidence in that government or a subsequent vote approving the individual’s appointment to that government. Any interim or caretaker Minister of Defense will not count toward the resolution of this market. Once a qualifying individual assumes office, subsequent replacements will not affect resolution. The individual must be appointed as “Minister of Defense” or be appointed to the ministerial position confirmed to be its successor position, retaining its primary responsibilities, by a consensus of credible reporting. Positions that assume only secondary responsibilities will not qualify as a successor. If the primary portfolio responsibilities previously assigned to Minister of Defense are attributable to multiple successor positions, this market will resolve to the individual appointed to one of the successor positions whose full name comes first in alphabetical order. If no such Minister of Defense assumes office by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Next Minister by Feb 28”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Price History
Outcomes (34 markets)
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027?
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Ofer Winter be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person N be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person Q be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person R be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person T be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person U be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person V be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person W be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person Y be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person Z be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person S be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Elazar Stern be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Yair Golan be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will another individual be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person P be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Matan Kahana be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person X be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Eli Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person O be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Benny Gantz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Amir Ohana be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
Will Person M be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?
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