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Next leader out of power before 2027?
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who ceases to occupy their listed office. An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify. Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count. Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market. If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Price History
Outcomes (22 markets)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Anthony Albanese be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027?
Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027?
Market Stats
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