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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
PoliticsACTIVE

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the US government or military officially announces or confirms that it has gained possession of any quantity of enriched uranium previously controlled by Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. “Possession” means that the United States has actual physical custody or control of the enriched uranium, whether held within U.S. territory or elsewhere. Announcements of deals, agreements, commitments, or plans under which the United States would acquire possession of Iranian enriched uranium at a later time will not qualify. Qualifying possession of Iranian enriched uranium may be acquired through any means, including through an agreed surrender or seizure. A widespread consensus of credible reporting that the United States has gained possession of Iranian enriched uranium will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution, even if the United States makes no formal announcement. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a widespread consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History

Outcomes (8 markets)

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?

Yes5.5%
No94.5%
$12.1K 24h

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?

Yes0.8%
No99.2%
$664 24h

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Yes50.0%
No50.0%
$0 24h

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$29.2M
24h Volume
$12.7K
Liquidity
$121.0K
Open Interest
$564.6K
End Date
1/1/2027
Comments
194

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Tags

PoliticsU.S. x IranGeopoliticsIran CeasefireIranTrumpNegotiation Topics