Markets/Politics/Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

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Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
PoliticsACTIVE

Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Viktor Orbán is arrested or detained by law enforcement by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History

Outcomes (2 markets)

Viktor Orbán arrested by June 30, 2027?

Yes37.5%
No62.5%
$3.2K 24h

Viktor Orbán arrested by...?

Yes11.7%
No88.3%
$623 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$135.3K
24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$55.0K
Open Interest
$43.4K
End Date
1/1/2027
Comments
18

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OrbanHungaryPoliticsViktor Orban