Markets/Crypto/Which cities face tornado risk on September 13?

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Which cities face tornado risk on September 13?
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Which cities face tornado risk on September 13?

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that falls within a tornado probability area rated ≥2% in the NOAA Storm Prediction Center Day 1 Convective Outlook on September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook assigns tornado probability percentages (2%, 5%, 10%, etc.) to geographic areas across the US. If a city's coordinates fall inside any area rated 2% or higher, that city resolves "Yes". If a city is outside all tornado probability areas, or only within areas rated below 2%, that city resolves "No". The SPC outlook is published as machine-readable geographic data (GeoJSON) at spc.noaa.gov. Each city's coordinates and the polygon boundaries are publicly verifiable. Borderline cases can be independently confirmed using the polygon data (excluding the hatched SIGN overlay, which is not a probability rating) and the city's listed coordinates. The point-in-polygon test is performed on unprojected WGS84 (EPSG:4326) coordinates, which is the native coordinate system of the SPC GeoJSON data. Resolution is based on the scheduled 01:00 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook update issued on the following UTC calendar day. The SPC Day 1 outlook covers a 24-hour period from 12:00 UTC to 12:00 UTC the following day. Subsequent revisions published after that scheduled update will not be considered. If the SPC Day 1 Convective Outlook has not been published by the time the market closes, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NOAA Storm Prediction Center at spc.noaa.gov.

Price History

Outcomes (25 markets)

Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.5%
No99.5%
$375 24h

Will Omaha, NE face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.5%
No99.5%
$242 24h

Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$237 24h

Will Austin, TX face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.8%
No99.3%
$235 24h

Will Louisville, KY face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$213 24h

Will Fort Worth, TX face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$212 24h

Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$203 24h

Will Nashville, TN face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes47.3%
No52.6%
$187 24h

Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$153 24h

Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes47.4%
No52.6%
$150 24h

Will Charlotte, NC face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.5%
No99.5%
$141 24h

Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.7%
No99.3%
$140 24h

Will Minneapolis, MN face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$139 24h

Will Houston, TX face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$121 24h

Will Oklahoma City, OK face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$121 24h

Will Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.8%
No99.3%
$92 24h

Will St. Louis, MO face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.8%
No99.3%
$76 24h

Will New Orleans, LA face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.1%
No100.0%
$75 24h

Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.8%
No99.3%
$67 24h

Will Atlanta, GA face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes47.4%
No52.6%
$59 24h

Will Birmingham, AL face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes0.8%
No99.3%
$57 24h

Will Memphis, TN face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes47.5%
No52.5%
$55 24h

Will Tampa, FL face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes2.0%
No98.0%
$37 24h

Will Little Rock, AR face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes47.4%
No52.5%
$17 24h

Will Denver, CO face tornado risk on September 13?

Yes47.4%
No52.6%
$17 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$3.4K
24h Volume
$3.4K
Liquidity
$5.7K
Open Interest
$2.7K
End Date
9/14/2026
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Tags

WeatherRecurringTornado Risk