What are the current odds for Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win??

The market currently prices the primary outcome at 7%. This reflects the collective probability estimate from all Polymarket traders.

How much has been traded on Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win??

Total trading volume is $60.9K with $53.3K in the last 24 hours. Liquidity stands at $1.9M.

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Markets/Politics/Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

This market will resolve according to which of the United States Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio (special election), and Texas, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, are won by the Republican candidate, inclusive of any potential runoffs. Each listed outcome names the exact set of these states in which the Republican candidate wins. An outcome will resolve to "Yes" only if the Republican candidate wins every state it names and does not win any of the other states covered by this market. A state counts as not won by the Republican candidate if any other candidate wins it, including a Democratic, independent, or third-party candidate, or if its results cannot be determined by March 31, 2027. A candidate will be considered to represent the Republican Party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of the Republican Party. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered to represent the Republican Party regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

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Price History

Outcomes (109 markets)

Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes7.3%

No92.7%

$3.8K 24h

Will Republicans win the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Yes4.2%

No95.9%

$3.2K 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes22.0%

No78.0%

$2.3K 24h

Will Republicans win Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes1.6%

No98.5%

$2.1K 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes5.5%

No94.5%

$1.5K 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Michigan?

Yes3.0%

No97.0%

$1.3K 24h

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Yes24.5%

No75.5%

$913 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Michigan?

Yes1.6%

No98.4%

$910 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes1.1%

No99.0%

$835 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Ohio and Texas?

Yes1.1%

No98.9%

$816 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$709 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes1.6%

No98.4%

$617 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$616 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

$611 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Texas?

Yes1.6%

No98.5%

$597 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?

Yes1.1%

No99.0%

$542 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$539 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$500 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?

Yes1.1%

No99.0%

$493 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes1.6%

No98.4%

$487 24h

Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?

Yes1.1%

No98.9%

$474 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas?

Yes1.9%

No98.1%

$462 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes2.1%

No98.0%

$459 24h

Will Republicans win Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$452 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Kansas?

Yes0.1%

No99.9%

$449 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Maine and Michigan?

Yes0.9%

No99.1%

$449 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$431 24h

Will Republicans win Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$414 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio?

Yes3.2%

No96.8%

$409 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas and Maine, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.7%

No99.4%

$406 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes0.6%

No99.4%

$406 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes0.1%

No100.0%

$385 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.6%

No99.4%

$377 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Maine and Texas?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$375 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Maine?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$369 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.1%

No100.0%

$365 24h

Will Republicans win Michigan and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$364 24h

Will Republicans win Maine and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$355 24h

Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas?

Yes1.1%

No98.9%

$352 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Ohio?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$348 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Michigan?

Yes2.1%

No98.0%

$342 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$340 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?

Yes0.4%

No99.7%

$339 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska and Kansas, and lose Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$336 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes0.3%

No99.8%

$333 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$332 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$331 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes2.1%

No97.9%

$326 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$324 24h

Will Republicans win Maine and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$323 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$322 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Maine?

Yes0.6%

No99.4%

$316 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes2.8%

No97.2%

$316 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Texas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$308 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$308 24h

Will Republicans win Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$302 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Iowa, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes1.5%

No98.6%

$302 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$301 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Ohio?

Yes3.4%

No96.7%

$301 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$290 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Texas?

Yes0.1%

No100.0%

$287 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$285 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa and Texas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$282 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes0.6%

No99.4%

$282 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?

Yes0.9%

No99.1%

$279 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?

Yes0.9%

No99.1%

$274 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Michigan?

Yes0.1%

No100.0%

$274 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine?

Yes0.4%

No99.6%

$272 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Maine?

Yes0.6%

No99.4%

$268 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Texas?

Yes0.1%

No100.0%

$250 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Kansas?

Yes0.1%

No100.0%

$246 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?

Yes1.7%

No98.3%

$209 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan?

Yes0.1%

No100.0%

$205 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Maine, and Ohio?

Yes0.3%

No99.7%

$187 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Michigan and Texas?

Yes1.5%

No98.6%

$185 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes9.5%

No90.5%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes8.5%

No91.5%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes16.5%

No83.5%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?

Yes17.0%

No83.0%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Texas?

Yes34.0%

No66.0%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Michigan?

Yes8.5%

No91.5%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?

Yes25.5%

No74.5%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, and Maine?

Yes36.5%

No63.5%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes19.0%

No81.0%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Maine, and Texas?

Yes8.0%

No92.0%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes18.0%

No82.0%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Ohio?

Yes30.5%

No69.5%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Texas?

Yes9.0%

No91.0%

$70 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$31 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio?

Yes2.9%

No97.0%

$30 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio, and lose Maine, Michigan, and Texas?

Yes3.5%

No96.5%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Michigan?

Yes2.9%

No97.1%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Texas?

Yes1.8%

No98.2%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Kansas, Maine, and Michigan?

Yes3.4%

No96.7%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Ohio?

Yes3.3%

No96.7%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Ohio?

Yes2.4%

No97.6%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Iowa?

Yes2.6%

No97.4%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes3.5%

No96.5%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Maine, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes2.5%

No97.5%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Ohio, and lose Kansas, Michigan, and Texas?

Yes1.3%

No98.8%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Kansas, Ohio, and Texas?

Yes2.0%

No98.0%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Alaska and Texas?

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Michigan?

Yes1.8%

No98.2%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Maine and Ohio?

Yes3.4%

No96.7%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Kansas and Ohio?

Yes1.5%

No98.6%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio?

Yes1.3%

No98.7%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Kansas and Texas?

Yes1.6%

No98.5%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, and lose Iowa, Kansas, and Texas?

Yes2.8%

No97.2%

$0 24h

Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Alaska and Maine?

Yes1.8%

No98.2%

$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume

$60.9K

24h Volume

$53.3K

Liquidity

$1.9M

Open Interest

$9.7K

End Date

11/3/2026

Comments

Top Holders

PRO

No holder data yet

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Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?

Price History

Outcomes (109 markets)

Market Stats

Top Holders

Tags

Related Politics Markets