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Markets/Politics/Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
Will Russia capture Lyman by...?
PoliticsACTIVE

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Lyman railroad station located on Vulytsya Pryvokzalʹna by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman+train+station+zoom.png Train Station Location in Lyman: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman+train+station.jpeg Lyman Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/lyman.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/zeVSXaeDH93mF2WPA The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Price History

Outcomes (8 markets)

Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?

Yes8.0%
No92.0%
$6.2K 24h

Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?

Yes67.5%
No32.5%
$995 24h

Will Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?

Yes32.0%
No68.0%
$511 24h

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?

Yes85.5%
No14.5%
$251 24h

Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Russia capture Lyman by January 31, 2026?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$1.8M
24h Volume
$8.0K
Liquidity
$87.3K
End Date
12/31/2026
Comments
83

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Tags

UkraineGeopoliticsworld affairsPoliticsWorldRussia CaptureUkraine Map