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Markets/Politics/Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?
Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?
PoliticsACTIVE

Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection between T-05-15 and Shakhtarskoi Slavy vulytsia located in Rodyns'ke by September 15, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. The intersection station will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by September 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”. If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established. Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske+intersection+zoom.png Intersection Location in Rodyns'ke: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske+intersection.png Rodyns'ke location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/rodynske.jpeg Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/oFYUB5RUaKXaPvVT9 The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

Price History

Outcomes (9 markets)

Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?

Yes19.0%
No81.0%
$33.5K 24h

Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?

Yes52.5%
No47.5%
$4.9K 24h

Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 30?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$1.4M
24h Volume
$38.5K
Liquidity
$21.5K
End Date
3/31/2026
Comments
281

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Tags

UkrainerussiaUkraine MapWorldGeopolitics