Markets/Crypto/Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

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Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?
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Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

This event tracks whether each listed U.S. regional grid operator declares a NERC Energy Emergency Alert at Level 2 (EEA-2) or Level 3 (EEA-3) from this event's creation through that market's deadline of 11:59 PM local time on September 30, 2026. Each regional market resolves independently to "Yes" or "No" under its own operator, sources, and rules shown on that market, and more than one market may resolve "Yes". Each market is confirmed by any official communication from the relevant grid operator — its newsroom or press releases (linked in that market's rules), market or grid notices, or real-time system-status postings — or by credible national news reporting. A lower EEA-1 declaration does not qualify in any market. A declaration qualifies as long as it happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. A DOE Section 202(c) emergency order is not a NERC EEA declaration and does not qualify in any market. Because Energy Emergency Alerts are federally reportable, a qualifying declaration is also verifiable through mandatory NERC or U.S. Department of Energy records (DOE Form OE-417, published at https://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/oe417.aspx) even if no other source captures it.

Price History

Outcomes (7 markets)

Will there be a power grid emergency in the Mid-Atlantic before October 1?

Yes5.1%
No94.9%
$2.1K 24h

Will there be a power grid emergency in California before October 1?

Yes3.1%
No96.9%
$1.5K 24h

Will there be a power grid emergency in New England before October 1?

Yes3.1%
No96.9%
$686 24h

Will there be a power grid emergency in New York before October 1?

Yes5.5%
No94.5%
$226 24h

Will there be a power grid emergency in the Central US before October 1?

Yes39.5%
No60.5%
$73 24h

Will there be a power grid emergency in Texas before October 1?

Yes5.5%
No94.5%
$0 24h

Will there be a power grid emergency in the Midwest before October 1?

Yes100.0%
No0.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$24.5K
24h Volume
$4.6K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Open Interest
$4.8K
End Date
10/2/2026
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Tags

energyWeatherclimateClimate & Science