Market Intelligence — Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Today's market overview

Active prediction markets traded $100.9M in the last 24 hours. Here is what moved, where the largest positions sit, and what resolves next.

What moved

Biggest gain

Israel closes its airspace by...? climbed +20.8 points to 96% on $794.0K of 24-hour volume. The market asks: Israel closes its airspace by September 30?

Where the biggest money sits

Positions below are valued at the current price. Amounts are share counts; each winning share redeems for $1, so "at risk" is shares times price. Parked capital priced at 95¢ or higher and identical-size positions spread across every outcome of one event are excluded, because those are market-making rather than directional bets.

3edmond.dantes holds 2.4M shares of YES on "Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?" at 39¢ — about $933.5K at risk, paying $2.4M if it resolves that way.

0xd3A0b4E941B557D33A8EFd5a51c581e7c79cF136-1787996319116 holds 390.0K shares of NO on "Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?" at 62¢ — about $239.8K at risk, paying $390.0K if it resolves that way.

BreakTheBank holds 288.0K shares of NO on "Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?" at 62¢ — about $177.1K at risk, paying $288.0K if it resolves that way.

0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 holds 150.8K shares of YES on "US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova" at 87¢ — about $130.5K at risk, paying $150.8K if it resolves that way.

Full rankings on the biggest bets page, with wallet history in the whale tracker and new positions in the free alerts feed.

Resolving in the next seven days

Sep 13 — Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? (currently 56%, $2.3M traded)

Sep 14 — Barranquilla: Julieta Pareja vs Lucrezia Stefanini (currently 50%, $2.0M traded)

Sep 15 — Genoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari (currently 54%, $1.6M traded)

Sep 15 — US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? (currently 4%, $1.2M traded)

Sep 15 — US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova (currently 87%, $1.2M traded)

The full 31-day view is on the resolution calendar.

Where to look next

Live trackers for the questions that draw the most attention: Fed decision odds for cut, hold or hike at each remaining FOMC meeting, and 2026 midterm odds for control of Congress. Perpetual futures data, including funding rates, is on the Perps screener.

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*Generated from PolymarketFlow's ingested Polymarket data. Prices are market prices shown for information only, not advice. Trading availability depends on your jurisdiction.*