Market Intelligence — Thursday, October 1, 2026
Today's market overview
Active prediction markets traded $141.2M in the last 24 hours. Here is what moved, where the largest positions sit, and what resolves next.
What moved
Biggest gain
Fed Decision in October? climbed +8.0 points to 64% on $568.8K of 24-hour volume. The market asks: Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
Biggest drop
Fed Decision in October? fell -8.0 points to 36% on $663.4K of 24-hour volume. The market asks: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Where the biggest money sits
Positions below are valued at the current price. Amounts are share counts; each winning share redeems for $1, so "at risk" is shares times price. Parked capital priced at 95¢ or higher and identical-size positions spread across every outcome of one event are excluded, because those are market-making rather than directional bets.
No position cleared our reporting threshold in the latest holder snapshot.
Full rankings on the biggest bets page, with wallet history in the whale tracker and new positions in the free alerts feed.
Resolving in the next seven days
The full 31-day view is on the resolution calendar.
Where to look next
Live trackers for the questions that draw the most attention: Fed decision odds for cut, hold or hike at each remaining FOMC meeting, and 2026 midterm odds for control of Congress. Perpetual futures data, including funding rates, is on the Perps screener.
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*Generated from PolymarketFlow's ingested Polymarket data. Prices are market prices shown for information only, not advice. Trading availability depends on your jurisdiction.*