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Market InsightsThursday, November 12, 20263 min readPolymarketFlow Research

Market Intelligence — Thursday, November 12, 2026

Today's market overview

Active prediction markets traded $95.2M in the last 24 hours. Here is what moved, where the largest positions sit, and what resolves next.

What moved

Biggest gain

Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by...? climbed +61.5 points to 78% on $4.3M of 24-hour volume. The market asks: Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026?

3 markets with outcomes still in doubt moved at least 5 points today; markets that simply settled are excluded. The full list is on the movers page, and the screener filters by volume and anomaly score.

Where the biggest money sits

Positions below are valued at the current price. Amounts are share counts; each winning share redeems for $1, so "at risk" is shares times price. Parked capital priced at 95¢ or higher and identical-size positions spread across every outcome of one event are excluded, because those are market-making rather than directional bets.

No position cleared our reporting threshold in the latest holder snapshot.

Full rankings on the biggest bets page, with wallet history in the whale tracker and new positions in the free alerts feed.

Resolving in the next seven days

  • Nov 13 — Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 12, 2026? (currently 47%, $4.5M traded)
  • Nov 16 — Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? (currently 96%, $2.6M traded)
  • Nov 12 — Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B (currently 57%, $1.3M traded)
  • Nov 14 — Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by November 13, 2026? (currently 53%, $1.1M traded)
  • Nov 15 — UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card) (currently 37%, $937.1K traded)
  • The full 31-day view is on the resolution calendar.

    Where to look next

    Live trackers for the questions that draw the most attention: Fed decision odds for cut, hold or hike at each remaining FOMC meeting, and 2026 midterm odds for control of Congress. Perpetual futures data, including funding rates, is on the Perps screener.

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    *Generated from PolymarketFlow's ingested Polymarket data. Prices are market prices shown for information only, not advice. Trading availability depends on your jurisdiction.*