Markets/Economics/How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?

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How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?
Economics

How high will 2-year Treasury yield go in October?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 2-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "2 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

Price History

Outcomes (9 markets)

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.15% in October?

Yes20.3%
No79.7%
$949 24h

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in October?

Yes4.0%
No96.0%
$897 24h

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in October?

Yes23.8%
No76.3%
$409 24h

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.05% in October?

Yes26.4%
No73.6%
$371 24h

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.92% in October?

Yes54.5%
No45.5%
$183 24h

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% in October?

Yes20.5%
No79.5%
$178 24h

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.89% in October?

Yes66.0%
No34.0%
$163 24h

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?

Yes32.5%
No67.5%
$88 24h

Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.86% in October?

Yes73.0%
No27.0%
$30 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$8.6K
24h Volume
$3.3K
Liquidity
$2.0K
Open Interest
$3.8K
End Date
11/1/2026
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Tags

EconomyFinanceFed RatesRecurringTreasuries